Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambrian United vs Newport City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cambrian United play Newport City in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cambrian United averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Newport City averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Cambrian United won 2, Newport City won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Cambrian United and 0.81 for Newport City. This points to a Cambrian United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cambrian United
26%
Draws
24%
Newport City
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Cambrian United picked up more points recently compared to Newport City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 26%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Newport City
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 27 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Cambrian United vs Newport City
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Newport City
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Cambrian United
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Newport City
1:1
Aug 6, 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Cambrian United
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 50 / 100
Newport City 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Newport City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cambrian United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cambrian United attacking → ← attacking Newport City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Newport City let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cambrian United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Newport City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

86 Points in last 5 38
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88