Sport Picks
Cambrian United vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ferreira N.
17'
17'
Bonthron A.
56'
56'
Edwards D.
AI Match Summary
Cambrian United in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambrian United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Trethomas Bluebirds are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
4:2
Aug 15, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cambrian United
0:5
Mar 28, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cambrian United
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bonthron A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rees O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 22 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Trethomas Bluebirds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cambrian United scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Trethomas Bluebirds let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Cambrian United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Trethomas Bluebirds
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Away) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
14 Jul
Barry Town
5 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
