Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambridge Utd U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020 Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Exeter U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cambridge Utd U23
25%
Draws
35%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cambridge Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Exeter U23 come out ahead of Cambridge Utd U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cambridge Utd U23 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cambridge Utd U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambridge Utd U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 9
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2019 Premier League Cup
Cambridge Utd U23 vs Exeter U23
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd U23 49 / 100
Exeter U23 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambridge Utd U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Exeter U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cambridge Utd U23's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd U23 VS Exeter U23
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd U23

(Home)
10 Sept
Cambridge Utd U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Aug
Bristol Rovers U23
0 : 2
Cambridge Utd U23

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doncaster U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Portsmouth U23 -
Huddersfield U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd U23 -
Plymouth U23 -
TBD -
Newport U23 2
Yeovil U23 10
Southend U23 4
Fleetwood Town U23 1
Shrewsbury U23 0
Scunthorpe U23 2
Cambridge Utd U23 2
Bristol Rovers U23 0
TBD -
Exeter U23 -
TBD -
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Final
Doncaster U23 1
Portsmouth U23 0
Huddersfield U23 4
Oxford Utd U23 0
Plymouth U23 2
Yeovil U23 0
Southend U23 1
Scunthorpe U23 3
Cambridge Utd U23 0
Exeter U23 2
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -