Sport Picks
Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden 
Match Events
36'
36'
van der Sande J.
46'
46'
Sub
Adiele E. In: Sneijder J.
Out: Adiele E.
46'
46'
Sub
Galvez T. In: Marsman B.
Out: Galvez T.
AI Match Summary
Cambuur in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambuur.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Utrecht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Cambuur have won more games recently than Jong Utrecht.
- Win probability leans Jong Utrecht's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cambuur here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambuur | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Cambuur
2:4
Apr 13, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Sep 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Cambuur
0:4
Feb 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambuur Compare
Top Goalscorer Sjostrand O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Jong Utrecht Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambuur 19 / 100
Jong Utrecht 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambuur Jong Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Utrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Jong Utrecht has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Jong Utrecht registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambuur VS Jong Utrecht
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambuur
(Home) 15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1 Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1 Cambuur
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2 Volos
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2 Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1 Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0 Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1 Roda
Page 1 of 3
Jong Utrecht
(Away) 09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1 Jong Utrecht
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Werder Bremen II
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
20 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1 Jong Utrecht
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
20 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Jong Utrecht
06 Apr
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
