Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Hoogewerf D.
14'
Achouitar O.
33'
Markelo N.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Vitesse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambuur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cambuur
20%
Draws
38%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambuur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cambuur are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cambuur here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Vitesse
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Vitesse
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Cambuur
0:4
Apr 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Vitesse
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Cambuur
0:6
Feb 7, 2024 KNVB Beker
Cambuur vs Vitesse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Diemers M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrah I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 40 / 100
Vitesse 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vitesse has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Cambuur remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Vitesse
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2
Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
18 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 2
Al Jazira
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
11 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 0
Dortmund II
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)