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Cambuur vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Hoogewerf D.
14'
Achouitar O.
33'
Markelo N.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Vitesse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambuur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cambuur
30%
Draws
41%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cambuur here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Vitesse
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Vitesse
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Cambuur
0:4
Apr 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Vitesse
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Cambuur
0:6
Feb 7, 2024 KNVB Beker
Cambuur vs Vitesse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Diemers M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrah I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 34 / 100
Vitesse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vitesse has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Cambuur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Vitesse
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
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Vitesse

(Away)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)