Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
van Gelderen L. In: Held N.
Out: van Gelderen L.
30' Event
Cleonise D.
38'
Postma L.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Waalwijk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cambuur
39%
Draws
31%
Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambuur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 20%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Waalwijk
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Waalwijk
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 KNVB Beker
Waalwijk vs Cambuur
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Cambuur
4:2
Dec 17, 2024 KNVB Beker
Waalwijk vs Cambuur
4:1
May 28, 2023 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Waalwijk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Sande J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleonise D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 31 / 100
Waalwijk 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Waalwijk let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cambuur remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Waalwijk
1 Goals Scored 1
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2
Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

Waalwijk

(Away)
25 Jul
Waalwijk
0 : 2
Bochum II
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
11 Jul
Kozakken Boys
0 : 0
Waalwijk
04 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)