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Cameroon U17 vs Mali U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
Cameroon U17 Logo

Cameroon U17

0 - 2
FT
Mali U17 Logo

Mali U17

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sanogo S.
57'
Sub
Biloa J. In: Dipanda R.
Out: Biloa J.
57'
Fi Akamba C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Mali U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cameroon U17
20%
Draws
36%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cameroon U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Mali U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mali U17 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cameroon U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cameroon U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Cameroon U17 vs Mali U17
0:2
Feb 16, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Cameroon U17
3:1
Nov 21, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Cameroon U17
3:0
Nov 7, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Cameroon U17 vs Mali U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameroon U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameroon U17 35 / 100
Mali U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cameroon U17 Mali U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameroon U17's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Mali U17 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Cameroon U17 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cameroon U17 VS Mali U17
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameroon U17

(Home)
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 0
Cameroon U17
06 Apr
Cameroon U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
Page 1 of 6

Mali U17

(Away)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Congo U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Somalia U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Nigeria U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Zambia U17 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U17 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Burkina Faso U17 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Cameroon U17 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 South Sudan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams