Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cameroon vs Morocco

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Avom A.
24'
Sub
Tchamadeu J. In: Dina Ebimbe J.
Out: Tchamadeu J.
26' Event
Diaz B.
Assist: El Kaabi A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Morocco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cameroon
15%
Draws
49%
Morocco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cameroon Clean Sheet 14%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cameroon Morocco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 23
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Cameroon vs Morocco
0:2
Feb 3, 2021 African Nations Championship
Morocco vs Cameroon
4:0
Nov 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Cameroon
2:0
Jun 10, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
Cameroon vs Morocco
1:0
Nov 13, 2011 LG Cup Africa
Morocco vs Cameroon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameroon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saibari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameroon 31 / 100
Morocco 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cameroon Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cameroon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cameroon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Morocco conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cameroon VS Morocco
1.2 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameroon

(Home)
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
Australia
1 : 0
Cameroon
09 Jan
Cameroon
0 : 2
Morocco
04 Jan
South Africa
1 : 2
Cameroon
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
Page 1 of 6

Morocco

(Away)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mali 2
Tunisia 1
Senegal 3
Sudan 1
Egypt 3
Benin 1
Ivory Coast 3
Burkina Faso 0
Algeria 1
D.R. Congo 0
Nigeria 4
Mozambique 0
South Africa 1
Cameroon 2
Morocco 1
Tanzania 0
Quarter-finals
Mali 0
Senegal 1
Egypt 3
Ivory Coast 2
Algeria 0
Nigeria 2
Cameroon 0
Morocco 2
Semi-finals
Senegal 1
Egypt 0
Nigeria 0
Morocco 1
Final
Senegal 0
Morocco 3
Egypt 0
Nigeria 1