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Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Neto S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Campo Grande advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Campo Grande
20%
Draws
7%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campo Grande come out ahead of AA Carapebus on wins alone.
  • Campo Grande are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Campo Grande have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Campo Grande, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Campo Grande have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande AA Carapebus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 95 / 100
AA Carapebus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campo Grande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AA Carapebus conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Campo Grande remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS AA Carapebus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

AA Carapebus

(Away)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Campo Grande 4
AA Carapebus 1
Bonsucesso 5
Niteroiense 4
Final
Campo Grande 4
Bonsucesso 1