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Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Neto S.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Campo Grande and AA Carapebus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campo Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Campo Grande
11%
Draws
9%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campo Grande come out ahead of AA Carapebus on wins alone.
  • Campo Grande are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Campo Grande have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande AA Carapebus
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 86 / 100
AA Carapebus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande AA Carapebus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

AA Carapebus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Campo Grande has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS AA Carapebus
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Campo Grande4
AA Carapebus1
Bonsucesso5
Niteroiense4
Final
Campo Grande4
Bonsucesso1