Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
dos Santos Barcelos P. V.

AI Match Summary

AA Carapebus in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Carapebus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Campo Grande
11%
Draws
9%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AA Carapebus haven't matched Campo Grande's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Campo Grande a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Campo Grande have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande AA Carapebus
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Barcelos P. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 86 / 100
AA Carapebus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Campo Grande scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

AA Carapebus let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Campo Grande stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS AA Carapebus
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Campo Grande
0 : 1
AA Carapebus
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Paduano EC
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

AA Carapebus

(Away)
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
05 Nov
AA Carapebus
1 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Nov
Campo Grande
0 : 1
AA Carapebus
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
AA Carapebus
0 : 0
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 (Main)