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Campo Grande vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Campo Grande host Duque de Caxias in the Carioca B1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Duque de Caxias have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Campo Grande have conceded 0.73 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Campo Grande have won 0 to Duque de Caxias's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.00) back Campo Grande to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Campo Grande
20%
Draws
42%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Campo Grande carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 20%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Carioca B1
Duque de Caxias vs Campo Grande
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 36 / 100
Duque de Caxias 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande Duque de Caxias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Campo Grande went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Duque de Caxias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS Duque de Caxias
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
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Duque de Caxias

(Away)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)