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Campo Grande vs Serra Macaense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

65' Event
Rhainer
73' Event
Neto S.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Campo Grande and Serra Macaense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Campo Grande
15%
Draws
26%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Campo Grande carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Campo Grande taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande Serra Macaense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs Serra Macaense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Serra Macaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhainer
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 49 / 100
Serra Macaense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande Serra Macaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campo Grande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Serra Macaense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Campo Grande remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS Serra Macaense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
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Serra Macaense

(Away)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)