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Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Mauricio Peixoto Motta L.
78' Event
Batista K.
90' Event
Gabriel Machado de Souza J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Campos AA
30%
Draws
41%
Cardoso Moreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardoso Moreira lately — more wins on the board than Campos AA.
  • Win probability leans Campos AA's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Cardoso Moreira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardoso Moreira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 10%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos AA Cardoso Moreira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Carioca C
Campos AA vs Cardoso Moreira
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira vs Campos AA
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campos AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio Peixoto Motta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Machado de Souza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos AA 34 / 100
Cardoso Moreira 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos AA Cardoso Moreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Campos AA found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Campos AA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cardoso Moreira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Campos AA VS Cardoso Moreira
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos AA

(Home)
05 Oct
Campos AA
3 : 1
Buzios
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Cardoso Moreira

(Away)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira 1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 0
Tigres Brasil 2
Campos AA 3
Rio Barra 1
Buzios 2
Barra Mansa 0
Uni Souza 0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira 6
Campos AA 2
Buzios 5
Barra Mansa 0
Final
Cardoso Moreira 2
Buzios 1