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Canaa EC vs Doce Mel

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Canaa EC Logo

Canaa EC

3 - 1
FT
Doce Mel Logo

Doce Mel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2019 game between Canaa EC and Doce Mel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canaa EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Canaa EC
35%
Draws
19%
Doce Mel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canaa EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Doce Mel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Canaa EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Canaa EC Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa EC Doce Mel
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Canaa EC
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 Baiano 2
Canaa EC vs Doce Mel
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa EC 85 / 100
Doce Mel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa EC Doce Mel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa EC scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Doce Mel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Canaa EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canaa EC VS Doce Mel
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa EC

(Home)
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
10 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
1 : 1
Canaa EC
03 Jul
Canaa EC
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Doce Mel

(Away)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Olimpia 10 7 2 1 19:5 23
2 Doce Mel 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
3 UNIRB 10 5 2 3 11:12 17
4 Cajazeiras 10 4 2 4 15:13 14
5 Canaa EC 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
6 Galicia 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2019 (Play Offs)