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Canaa EC vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Canaa EC
30%
Draws
41%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Canaa EC average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Grapiuna's 0.94.
  • Canaa EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Canaa EC Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa EC Grapiuna
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2022 Baiano 2
Canaa EC vs Grapiuna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa EC 85 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa EC Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa EC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Canaa EC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canaa EC VS Grapiuna
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa EC

(Home)
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
10 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
1 : 1
Canaa EC
03 Jul
Canaa EC
1 : 2
Jequie
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)