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Canaa vs Carajas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Sun, Jun 29, 2025
3 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canaa host Carajas in the Paraense A2 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Carajas have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Canaa have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.05. Past meetings favor Canaa slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.88) back Canaa to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canaa
35%
Draws
32%
Carajas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Carajas have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Canaa are scoring more at 1.05.
  • Win probability leans Canaa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Canaa Clean Sheet 20%
Carajas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa Carajas
Matches Played 20 24
Wins 4 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.05 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Canaa vs Carajas
3:0
Jun 18, 2025 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Canaa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa 36 / 100
Carajas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa Carajas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Canaa scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: Carajas conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Canaa VS Carajas
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa

(Home)
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2
Caete
26 Jul
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Canaa
Page 1 of 4

Carajas

(Away)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)