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Stadium Background

Canada U17 vs Uganda U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Aspire Zone, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bogere J.
Assist: Jjara B.
32'
Judelson D.
46'
Sub
Evans A. In: Selemani J.
Out: Evans A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Canada U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Canada U17
15%
Draws
46%
Uganda U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda U17 haven't matched Canada U17's recent run of results.
  • Canada U17 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Canada U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Canada U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U17 Uganda U17
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 World Cup U17
Canada U17 vs Uganda U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogere J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U17 41 / 100
Uganda U17 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U17 Uganda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Uganda U17 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Canada U17 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada U17 VS Uganda U17
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Canada U17
1 : 3
Jamaica U17
08 Feb
Aruba U17
1 : 5
Canada U17
06 Feb
Canada U17
3 : 0
Cayman Islands U17
14 Nov
Ireland U17
2 : 1
Canada U17
11 Nov
Chile U17
2 : 1
Canada U17
Page 1 of 6

Uganda U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U17 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Bolivia U17 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal U17 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Morocco U17 3 1 0 2 16:8 3
4 New Caledonia U17 3 0 1 2 1:22 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Croatia U17 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Costa Rica U17 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U17 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Belgium U17 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tunisia U17 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Fiji U17 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela U17 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 England U17 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Haiti U17 3 0 0 3 4:16 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 South Korea U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Mexico U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Ivory Coast U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 3 1 2 0 9:2 5
2 Colombia U17 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 North Korea U17 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 El Salvador U17 3 0 1 2 0:12 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
3 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Honduras U17 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Burkina Faso U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Czech Republic U17 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Tajikistan U17 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Uzbekistan U17 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Paraguay U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U17 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
2 Canada U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Chile U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Saudi Arabia U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U17 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams