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Stadium Background

Canada U20 vs Honduras U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Rodriguez J. In: David Y.
Out: Rodriguez J.
32'
Sub
Bruno Z. In: Vogele M.
Out: Bruno Z.
40'
Kozlovskiy S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Canada U20
30%
Draws
23%
Honduras U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canada U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canada U20 lately — more wins on the board than Honduras U20.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Canada U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Honduras U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U20 Honduras U20
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.43 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Canada U20 vs Honduras U20
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Honduras U20 vs Canada U20
2:2
Feb 17, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U20
Honduras U20 vs Canada U20
1:0
Jan 22, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Honduras U20 vs Canada U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Honduras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U20 36 / 100
Honduras U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U20 Honduras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Canada U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Canada U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada U20 VS Honduras U20
3.38 Goals Scored 1.6
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada U20

(Home)
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
05 Aug
Canada U20
3 : 1
Jamaica U20
01 Aug
Canada U20
2 : 2
Jamaica U20
30 Jul
Canada U20
1 : 1
Honduras U20
26 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 3
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

Honduras U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Honduras U20
0 : 4
Panama U20
30 Jul
Canada U20
1 : 1
Honduras U20
27 Jul
Honduras U20
1 : 2
Jamaica U20
01 Aug
Honduras U20
1 : 2
Cuba U20
27 Jul
Honduras U20
5 : 2
Dominican Republic U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Haiti U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 Cuba U20 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 El Salvador U20 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Jamaica U20 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Panama U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Honduras U20 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams