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Canada vs Chile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
David J.
Assist: Larin C.
29'
Suazo G.
35'
Cepeda L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Canada and Chile finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Canada
15%
Draws
34%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canada come out ahead of Chile on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Canada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
Chile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Chile
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Friendly International
Canada vs Chile
1:0
Jun 30, 2024 Copa América
Canada vs Chile
0:0
Aug 13, 1987 Pan American Games
Canada vs Chile
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer David J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 59 / 100
Chile 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Chile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Chile
1.88 Goals Scored 1.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
07 Oct
USA
1 : 0
Canada
03 Oct
Canada
2 : 0
Peru
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
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Chile

(Away)
07 Oct
Mexico
0 : 2
Chile
30 Sept
USA
4 : 2
Chile
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
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