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Canada vs Ivory Coast

World World

Friendly International 2025 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Wed, Jun 11, 2025
0 - 1
12:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Adekugbe S.
31'
Waterman J.
46'
Sub
Laryea R. In: Sigur N.
Out: Laryea R.

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ivory Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Canada
15%
Draws
48%
Ivory Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ivory Coast lately — more wins on the board than Canada.
  • Canada are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Canada Clean Sheet 20%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Ivory Coast
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.58 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Friendly International
Canada vs Ivory Coast
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 36 / 100
Ivory Coast 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Canada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ivory Coast conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Ivory Coast
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
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Ivory Coast

(Away)
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
08 Jun
Philadelphia Union II
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
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