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Friendly International 2025 BMO Field

Ivory Coast

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canada play Ivory Coast in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Canada averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Ivory Coast averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Canada won 0, Ivory Coast won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Canada and 1.19 for Ivory Coast. This points to a Ivory Coast double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Canada

17%

Draws

47%

Ivory Coast

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Canada picked up more points recently compared to Ivory Coast.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Canada Clean Sheet 20%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Canada	Ivory Coast
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	19
Draws	8	2
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.57	1.72
Goals Conceded	0.8	0.66
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Friendly International

Canada vs Ivory Coast

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 36 / 100

Ivory Coast 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Canada Ivory Coast

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ivory Coast or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canada attacking → ← attacking Ivory Coast

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ivory Coast let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ivory Coast lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 59

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75