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Canada vs Tunisia

World World

Friendly International BMO Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canada play Tunisia in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Canada averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Tunisia averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Canada won 0, Tunisia won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Canada and 0.88 for Tunisia. This points to a Canada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Canada
22%
Draws
34%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Canada picked up more points recently compared to Tunisia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Canada Clean Sheet 25%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Tunisia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Canada vs Tunisia
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 45 / 100
Tunisia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Tunisia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canada or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canada attacking → ← attacking Tunisia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tunisia let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tunisia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 41
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63