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Canada W vs Argentina W

World World

SheBelieves Cup Women Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
1 - 0
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ongaro C.
46'
Sub
Levasseur M. In: Collins S.
Out: Levasseur M.
46'
Sub
Awujo S. In: Grosso J.
Out: Awujo S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Canada W
20%
Draws
38%
Argentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canada W lately — more wins on the board than Argentina W.
  • Model gives Canada W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Canada W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canada W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Canada W Clean Sheet 16%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada W Argentina W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 SheBelieves Cup Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
1:0
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
3:0
Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 SheBelieves Cup Women
Argentina W vs Canada W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada W 84 / 100
Argentina W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada W Argentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Argentina W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Canada W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada W VS Argentina W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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Argentina W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
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