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Canada W vs Denmark W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canada W host Denmark W in the Friendly International Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Denmark W have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Canada W have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Canada W have won 1 to Denmark W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2017, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Canada W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canada W
30%
Draws
37%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canada W lately — more wins on the board than Denmark W.
  • Win probability leans Canada W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Canada W Clean Sheet 17%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada W Denmark W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2017 Algarve Cup Women
Denmark W vs Canada W
0:1
Mar 2, 2016 Algarve Cup Women
Canada W vs Denmark W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada W 75 / 100
Denmark W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Denmark W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Canada W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Canada W VS Denmark W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada W

(Home)
09 Oct
Canada W
1 : 1
Denmark W
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
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Denmark W

(Away)
09 Oct
Canada W
1 : 1
Denmark W
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
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