Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canada W vs Haiti W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, MB
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leon A.
9' Event
Leon A.
46'
Sub
St.Georges B. In: Rose J.
Out: St.Georges B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Canada W and Haiti W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canada W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Canada W
15%
Draws
44%
Haiti W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Canada W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Canada W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Canada W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Canada W Clean Sheet 10%
Haiti W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada W Haiti W
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.93 2.42
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Haiti W
3:1
May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Haiti W
4:1
Jan 20, 2020 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Haiti W
1:1
Jan 20, 2012 Olympic Games Women
Canada W vs Haiti W
6:0
Aug 5, 2003 Pan American Games Women
Canada W vs Haiti W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zadorsky S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Haiti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Louis B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada W 47 / 100
Haiti W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada W Haiti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Canada W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Haiti W conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Canada W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canada W VS Haiti W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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Haiti W

(Away)
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
18 Apr
Haiti W
1 : 1
Dominican Republic W
10 Apr
Haiti W
5 : 0
Anguilla W
03 Mar
Suriname W
0 : 2
Haiti W
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