Sport Picks
Canberra Croatia vs Tuggeranong United
Australia
NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra 
Match Events
21'
21'
Green J.
23'
23'
Lee Eun-pyo
72'
72'
Antoniak A.
AI Match Summary
Tuggeranong United in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuggeranong United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Canberra Croatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Canberra Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Tuggeranong United.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Canberra Croatia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Canberra Croatia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 13%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canberra Croatia | Tuggeranong United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tuggeranong United
1:2
May 13, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Croatia
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tuggeranong United
7:2
Jul 20, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Croatia
1:7
May 25, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tuggeranong United
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canberra Croatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee Eun-pyo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Green J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Antoniak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canberra Croatia 75 / 100
Tuggeranong United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canberra Croatia Tuggeranong United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canberra Croatia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Tuggeranong United let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Canberra Croatia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Canberra Croatia VS Tuggeranong United
3 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Canberra Croatia
(Home) 11 Jul
Canberra Croatia
2 : 0 Brindabella Blues
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0 Canberra Olympic
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1 Canberra Croatia
17 Jun
Canberra White Eagles
1 : 2 Canberra Croatia
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Canberra Croatia
2 : 0 Brindabella Blues
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0 Canberra Olympic
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
10 Jun
Canberra Croatia
4 : 2 Queanbeyan City
24 May
Canberra Croatia
4 : 1 Monaro Panthers
Page 1 of 3
Tuggeranong United
(Away) 11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
10 Jun
Tuggeranong United
1 : 6 Monaro Panthers
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
30 May
Canberra Juventus
5 : 0 Tuggeranong United
24 Apr
Canberra White Eagles
2 : 4 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43:16 | 37 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53:22 | 36 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43:20 | 32 |
| 4 | Canberra Juventus | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32:21 | 30 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong United | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 25 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 32:41 | 16 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23:34 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7:44 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11:45 | 4 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)