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Canberra Croatia vs O'Connor Knights - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra
Canberra Croatia Logo

Canberra Croatia

5 - 4
FT
O'Connor Knights Logo

O'Connor Knights

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Galic D.
16' Event
Keir R.
36' Event
Ujdur N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Canberra Croatia and O'Connor Knights finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canberra Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Canberra Croatia
20%
Draws
24%
O'Connor Knights
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • O'Connor Knights haven't matched Canberra Croatia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canberra Croatia a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canberra Croatia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 68%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia O'Connor Knights
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 2.74 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs O'Connor Knights
5:4
May 16, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
1:5
Jul 26, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
2:3
May 31, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs O'Connor Knights
9:1
Apr 5, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitehead S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Keir R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

O'Connor Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Galic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tunney H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 95 / 100
O'Connor Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia O'Connor Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canberra Croatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Croatia scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

O'Connor Knights has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Canberra Croatia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Croatia VS O'Connor Knights
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Croatia

(Home)
13 Sept
Canberra Croatia
0 : 3
Tigers FC
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3
Canberra Croatia
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
Page 1 of 7

O'Connor Knights

(Away)
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
15 Aug
O'Connor Knights
3 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
01 Aug
Monaro Panthers
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)