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Canberra Croatia vs O'Connor Knights

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canberra Croatia host O'Connor Knights in the NPL ACT. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Canberra Croatia have averaged 3 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against O'Connor Knights's 0.75 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Canberra Croatia have won 4 to O'Connor Knights's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 0.94, favoring Canberra Croatia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canberra Croatia
6%
Draws
4%
O'Connor Knights
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • O'Connor Knights haven't matched Canberra Croatia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canberra Croatia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canberra Croatia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 20%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia O'Connor Knights
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 3 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
1:5
Jul 26, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
2:3
May 31, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs O'Connor Knights
9:1
Apr 5, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Croatia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 85 / 100
O'Connor Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia O'Connor Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Croatia scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

O'Connor Knights has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Canberra Croatia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Croatia VS O'Connor Knights
3 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Croatia

(Home)
21 Jul
Canberra Juventus
2 : 5
Canberra Croatia
11 Jul
Canberra Croatia
2 : 0
Brindabella Blues
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0
Canberra Olympic
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1
Canberra Croatia
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O'Connor Knights

(Away)
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
11 Jul
Canberra Juventus
2 : 0
O'Connor Knights
27 Jun
O'Connor Knights
1 : 0
Canberra Olympic
20 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3
Tuggeranong United
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia16131248:1840
2Monaro Panthers16130356:2239
3Tigers FC17112447:2135
4Tuggeranong United16110537:3433
5Canberra Juventus16100634:2930
6Queanbeyan City1582532:2326
7Canberra Olympic1652934:4317
8O'Connor Knights16511016:3116
9Belconnen United16231124:359
10Canberra White Eagles17211414:487
11Brindabella Blues1520138:466
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)