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Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Katsoulis M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Canberra Croatia
15%
Draws
42%
Queanbeyan City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Canberra Croatia have won more games recently than Queanbeyan City.
  • Model gives Canberra Croatia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Canberra Croatia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canberra Croatia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Canberra Croatia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 14%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia Queanbeyan City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.48 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
4:2
Mar 31, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
1:3
Jun 21, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Katsoulis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Queanbeyan City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 41 / 100
Queanbeyan City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia Queanbeyan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Croatia's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Queanbeyan City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Canberra Croatia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Croatia VS Queanbeyan City
3.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Croatia

(Home)
13 Sept
Canberra Croatia
0 : 3
Tigers FC
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3
Canberra Croatia
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
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Queanbeyan City

(Away)
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
16 Aug
Canberra Juventus
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Canberra Croatia -
TBD -
Tuggeranong United 0
Queanbeyan City 2
Monaro Panthers -
TBD -
Tigers FC 4
Canberra Juventus 2
Semi-finals
Canberra Croatia 1
Queanbeyan City 0
Monaro Panthers 1
Tigers FC 2
Final
Canberra Croatia 0
Tigers FC 3