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Canberra Olympic vs Monaro Panthers

Australia Australia

NPL ACT O'Connor Enclosed Oval, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Barac D.
26' Event
Celis D.
26' Event
Ahmed-Shaibu L.

AI Match Summary

Monaro Panthers in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monaro Panthers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Canberra Olympic
20%
Draws
40%
Monaro Panthers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Monaro Panthers have won more games recently than Canberra Olympic.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Monaro Panthers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Monaro Panthers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Monaro Panthers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Olympic Monaro Panthers
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.22 3.27
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Monaro Panthers
2:5
Apr 24, 2026 NPL ACT
Monaro Panthers vs Canberra Olympic
6:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL ACT
Monaro Panthers vs Canberra Olympic
4:0
May 25, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Monaro Panthers
1:3
Apr 5, 2024 NPL ACT
Monaro Panthers vs Canberra Olympic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Celis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barisic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monaro Panthers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed-Shaibu L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Barac D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Olympic 10 / 100
Monaro Panthers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Olympic Monaro Panthers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaro Panthers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Olympic's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Monaro Panthers let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Canberra Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Olympic VS Monaro Panthers
1.5 Goals Scored 4.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Olympic

(Home)
22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4
Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
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Monaro Panthers

(Away)
05 Sept
Monaro Panthers
1 : 2
Tigers FC
22 Aug
Canberra White Eagles
0 : 5
Monaro Panthers
15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3
Canberra Croatia
08 Aug
Monaro Panthers
7 : 0
Belconnen United
01 Aug
Monaro Panthers
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)