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Canberra White Eagles vs Tuggeranong United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Woden Park
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Antoniak A.
10' Event
Olivares F.
31' Event
Davies X.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Canberra White Eagles and Tuggeranong United finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuggeranong United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Canberra White Eagles
17%
Draws
70%
Tuggeranong United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tuggeranong United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuggeranong United come out ahead of Canberra White Eagles on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tuggeranong United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tuggeranong United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Canberra White Eagles Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra White Eagles Tuggeranong United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra White Eagles vs Tuggeranong United
2:4
Sep 10, 2022 Capital Premier League
Canberra White Eagles vs Tuggeranong United
0:2
Aug 17, 2022 Capital Premier League
Canberra White Eagles vs Tuggeranong United
0:3
Jun 2, 2022 Capital Premier League
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra White Eagles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra White Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivares F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindner R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tuggeranong United Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra White Eagles 14 / 100
Tuggeranong United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra White Eagles Tuggeranong United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggeranong United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Canberra White Eagles's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Canberra White Eagles went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra White Eagles VS Tuggeranong United
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia15121243:1637
2Monaro Panthers15120353:2236
3Tigers FC16102443:2032
4Canberra Juventus14100432:2130
5Tuggeranong United14100434:2930
6Queanbeyan City1481530:2125
7Canberra Olympic1551932:4116
8O'Connor Knights15501015:3015
9Belconnen United15221123:348
10Brindabella Blues1420127:446
11Canberra White Eagles15111311:454