Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cancun vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cancun host Alacranes de Durango in the Liga de Expansion MX. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Cancun have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Alacranes de Durango's 2.13 scored and 0.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Alacranes de Durango slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2023, ending 4:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.25) back Alacranes de Durango to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cancun
15%
Draws
59%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alacranes de Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Cancun.
  • Model gives Alacranes de Durango a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cancun Clean Sheet 19%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2023 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Cancun
4:3
Sep 29, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alacranes de Durango
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 16 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Alacranes de Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Alacranes de Durango conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Cancun has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Alacranes de Durango
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
09 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1
Cancun
02 Aug
Cancun
0 : 2
Leones Negros
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
04 Jul
Cancun
1 : 0
Toluca
21 Jun
Cancun
1 : 4
Monterrey
Page 1 of 7

Alacranes de Durango

(Away)
08 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 3
Piratas
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
25 Jul
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0
Deportiva Venados
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Correcaminos 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Venados FC 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Piratas 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
4 Club Atletico Morelia 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Leones Negros 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
6 Alacranes de Durango 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Zacatecas Mineros 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
8 Dorados de Sinaloa 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
9 Jaiba Brava 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
10 Tapatio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Atletico La Paz 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
13 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
14 Cancun 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
15 Tlaxcala 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)