Sport Picks
Cancun vs Alacranes de Durango - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
5'
5'
Escoboza A.
18'
18'
Garcia A.
33'
33'
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Melendre F.
AI Match Summary
Cancun in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cancun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alacranes de Durango
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Cancun.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Cancun Clean Sheet 25%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alacranes de Durango
2:0
Jan 31, 2023 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Cancun
4:3
Sep 29, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alacranes de Durango
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 37 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Alacranes de Durango
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Cancun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Alacranes de Durango has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Alacranes de Durango
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 4
Alacranes de Durango
(Away) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
