Sport Picks
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
14'
14'
Jaimes U.
Assist: Millan O.
16'
16'
Jaimes U.
Assist: Illescas F.
21'
21'
Jaimes U.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Cancun and Atletico La Paz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico La Paz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Cancun carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Atletico La Paz's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Atletico La Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Cancun
2:4
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
4:1
Nov 2, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Cancun
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaimes U.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 26 / 100
Atletico La Paz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Atletico La Paz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cancun's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Atletico La Paz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Cancun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Atletico La Paz
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 4
Atletico La Paz
(Away) 03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
08 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 5 Atletico La Paz
26 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
