Sport Picks
Cancun vs Leones Negros Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
7'
7'
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Assist: Gil O.
15'
15'
Brigido J.
Assist: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
26'
26'
Uscanga P.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Cancun and Leones Negros finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones Negros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cancun come out ahead of Leones Negros on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Leones Negros have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cancun Clean Sheet 11%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Leones Negros
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Cancun
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Leones Negros
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Cancun
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Leones Negros
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Leones Negros Compare
Top Goalscorer De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brigido J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 35 / 100
Leones Negros 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Leones Negros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones Negros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Leones Negros let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Cancun has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Leones Negros
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 4
Leones Negros
(Away) 04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2 Leones Negros
02 Aug
Cancun
0 : 2 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
