Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cancun vs Toluca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Cancun in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cancun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cancun
20%
Draws
52%
Toluca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toluca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cancun haven't matched Toluca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Toluca a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cancun Clean Sheet 15%
Toluca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Toluca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Cancun vs Toluca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cancun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Toluca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 23 / 100
Toluca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Toluca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cancun's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Toluca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cancun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Toluca
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2
Atletico La Paz
23 Aug
Piratas
0 : 1
Cancun
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Toluca

(Away)
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
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