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Canelas 2010 vs Alianca de Gandra Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canelas 2010 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canelas 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Canelas 2010
20%
Draws
48%
Alianca de Gandra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianca de Gandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canelas 2010 lately — more wins on the board than Alianca de Gandra.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Canelas 2010 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 20%
Alianca de Gandra Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Alianca de Gandra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Alianca de Gandra vs Canelas 2010
0:1
Jan 7, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Canelas 2010 vs Alianca de Gandra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 76 / 100
Alianca de Gandra 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Alianca de Gandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canelas 2010 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alianca de Gandra has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Alianca de Gandra has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canelas 2010 VS Alianca de Gandra
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 7

Alianca de Gandra

(Away)
22 Sept
Gondomar
1 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
08 Sept
Alianca de Gandra
2 : 1
SC Salgueiros
15 Aug
Leca
4 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
22 Apr
Alianca de Gandra
0 : 1
Canelas 2010
15 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)