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Canelas 2010 vs Braga B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gabriel Tigrao
18' Event
Pedro J.
44'
Doukoure H.

AI Match Summary

Braga B in this Liga 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Canelas 2010
35%
Draws
55%
Braga B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Braga B have won more games recently than Canelas 2010.
  • Braga B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Braga B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 21%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Braga B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Braga B
1:3
Aug 27, 2023 Liga 3
Braga B vs Canelas 2010
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Braga B
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Liga 3
Braga B vs Canelas 2010
2:1
Jan 16, 2022 Liga 3
Braga B vs Canelas 2010
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Tigrao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fonseca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 10 / 100
Braga B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Braga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Braga B let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Canelas 2010 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Braga B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 6

Braga B

(Away)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 18 13 2 3 35:11 41
2 Lusitania FC 18 8 7 3 32:15 31
3 Varzim 18 8 4 6 19:17 28
4 Braga B 18 8 3 7 26:22 27
5 Canelas 2010 18 7 4 7 21:28 25
6 AD Fafe 18 6 6 6 13:19 24
7 Trofense 18 6 5 7 18:20 20
8 Anadia 18 6 2 10 25:32 20
9 Sanjoanense 18 5 4 9 20:34 19
10 SC Vianense 18 3 3 12 14:25 12
Promotion - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica 18 9 5 4 27:17 32
2 Atletico CP 18 8 7 3 28:19 31
3 Alverca 18 9 4 5 27:19 31
4 Covilha 18 8 6 4 32:21 30
5 Sporting CP B 18 9 3 6 24:20 30
6 Caldas SC 18 8 5 5 31:26 29
7 Oliveira Hospital 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
8 Amora 18 4 6 8 21:24 18
9 Pero Pinheiro 18 3 4 11 16:37 13
10 1º Dezembro 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
Promotion - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)