Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

Canicatti

3 - 0

Nuova Gioiese

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Sidibe A.

53'

Pussetto A.

60'

Bonilla T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Canicatti and Nuova Gioiese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canicatti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Canicatti

Draws

Nuova Gioiese

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Canicatti carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Canicatti a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Canicatti	Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	2
Draws	4	3
Losses	13	24
Goals Scored	1.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Canicatti vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs Canicatti

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pussetto A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 95 / 100

Nuova Gioiese 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Canicatti Nuova Gioiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova Gioiese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Canicatti's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Canicatti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canicatti VS Nuova Gioiese

1.88 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0