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Canicatti vs Trapani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cocco A.
58' Event
Meneses S.
65' Event
Samake B.

AI Match Summary

Trapani in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trapani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Canicatti
15%
Draws
32%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Canicatti haven't matched Trapani's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canicatti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Trapani have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti Trapani
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Canicatti
7:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Trapani
1:3
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Canicatti
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Trapani
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cocco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 95 / 100
Trapani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Canicatti scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Trapani has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Canicatti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trapani
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
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Trapani

(Away)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)