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Canillas vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Acosta T.
42' Event
Lhery Y.
89' Event
Exposito R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Canillas and Alcorcon B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Canillas
20%
Draws
80%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcorcon B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Canillas Clean Sheet 24%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canillas Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.35
Goals Conceded 2 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Canillas
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Alcorcon B
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Canillas
0:2
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Alcorcon B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lhery Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Exposito R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canillas 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canillas Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alcorcon B has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Alcorcon B has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcorcon B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canillas

(Home)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
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Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)