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Canillas vs Carabanchel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Canillas and Carabanchel finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Canillas
15%
Draws
85%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carabanchel come out ahead of Canillas on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Carabanchel taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Canillas Clean Sheet 26%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canillas Carabanchel
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.81
Goals Conceded 2 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Carabanchel
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Canillas
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Carabanchel
0:0
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Canillas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canillas 10 / 100
Carabanchel 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canillas Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canillas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Carabanchel conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Carabanchel has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carabanchel
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canillas

(Home)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)