Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cannara vs Poggibonsi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Boriosi M.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Roselli C.
55' Event
Borri F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Cannara and Poggibonsi finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cannara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cannara
39%
Draws
31%
Poggibonsi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poggibonsi come out ahead of Cannara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Poggibonsi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cannara Clean Sheet 20%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannara Poggibonsi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
3:2
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannara Compare

Top Goalscorer Coviello A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roselli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Borri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannara 31 / 100
Poggibonsi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannara Poggibonsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cannara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cannara's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cannara VS Poggibonsi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannara

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Poggibonsi

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)