Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cannara vs Poggibonsi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Boriosi M.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Roselli C.
55' Event
Borri F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Cannara and Poggibonsi finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cannara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cannara
30%
Draws
29%
Poggibonsi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cannara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poggibonsi come out ahead of Cannara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Poggibonsi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cannara Clean Sheet 20%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannara Poggibonsi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.67 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
3:2
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannara Compare

Top Goalscorer Coviello A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roselli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Borri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannara 31 / 100
Poggibonsi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannara Poggibonsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cannara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cannara's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cannara VS Poggibonsi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannara

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Poggibonsi

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)