Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cannes vs Thonon-Evian

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 Stade Pierre de Coubertin, Cannes
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Martin-Pichon C.
4' Event
Djabour S.
54' Event
Jaby N.

AI Match Summary

Cannes in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cannes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cannes
35%
Draws
14%
Thonon-Evian
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cannes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cannes have won more games recently than Thonon-Evian.
  • Model gives Cannes a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cannes Clean Sheet 20%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannes Thonon-Evian
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 23 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.15 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Cannes vs Thonon-Evian
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs Cannes
0:0
May 14, 2010 Ligue 3
Thonon-Evian vs Cannes
3:0
Feb 2, 2010 Ligue 3
Cannes vs Thonon-Evian
0:0
May 2, 2009 Ligue 3
Thonon-Evian vs Cannes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannes Compare

Top Goalscorer Djabour S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaby N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thonon-Evian Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin-Pichon C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannes 49 / 100
Thonon-Evian 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannes Thonon-Evian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cannes scored in 87% of their last 39 games.

Recent resilience: Cannes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Thonon-Evian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cannes VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannes

(Home)
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
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Thonon-Evian

(Away)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)