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Canterbury United W vs Fencibles W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canterbury United W host Fencibles W in the National League Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Canterbury United W at 1.86 goals for, 2.75 against; Fencibles W at 2 for, 0 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.29 - 2.00) back Fencibles W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Canterbury United W
25%
Draws
35%
Fencibles W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Canterbury United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canterbury United W come out ahead of Fencibles W on wins alone.
  • Canterbury United W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Fencibles W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Fencibles W
Matches Played 28 2
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 16 0
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 40 / 100
Fencibles W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Fencibles W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Fencibles W let in goals in 0% of their last 2 matches.

Solid form: Canterbury United W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Fencibles W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

Fencibles W

(Away)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)