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Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canterbury United W host Wellington United W in the National League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Canterbury United W at 1.86 goals for, 2.75 against; Wellington United W at 2.71 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Wellington United W slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 1:8. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 3.88) point toward Wellington United W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Canterbury United W
15%
Draws
57%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wellington United W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Wellington United W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.86 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W
1:8
Oct 5, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Canterbury United W
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Wellington United W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Canterbury United W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Wellington United W
1.88 Goals Scored 4.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
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Wellington United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)