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Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Abbott A.
26' Event
Jenkins M.
35' Event
Olson N.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Canterbury United W and Wellington United W finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Canterbury United W
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington United W come out ahead of Canterbury United W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wellington United W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Wellington United W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.75 3.75
Goals Conceded 4.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W
1:8
Oct 5, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Canterbury United W
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington United W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury United W Compare

Top Goalscorer McEwan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olson N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canterbury United W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Wellington United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Canterbury United W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Wellington United W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.75
4.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

Wellington United W

(Away)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)