Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canterbury vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Tieku D.
45' Event
Schwarz T.
52' Event
Semmy T.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Canterbury and Hamilton finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Canterbury
15%
Draws
48%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Canterbury on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Canterbury's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 12%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Hamilton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Canterbury
1:1
Nov 29, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Hamilton
2:3
Mar 29, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Canterbury
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Hamilton
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Canterbury
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwarz T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Semmy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 74 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Canterbury stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury VS Hamilton
1.71 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)