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Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Lazarte V.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Canuelas and Leones de Rosario finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canuelas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Canuelas
30%
Draws
27%
Leones de Rosario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canuelas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Canuelas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Canuelas a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Canuelas Clean Sheet 68%
Leones de Rosario Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canuelas Leones de Rosario
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera C
Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera C
Leones de Rosario vs Canuelas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canuelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarte V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Leones de Rosario Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canuelas 68 / 100
Leones de Rosario 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canuelas Leones de Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canuelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canuelas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Canuelas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Leones de Rosario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Canuelas VS Leones de Rosario
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canuelas

(Home)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
27 Sept
Canuelas
2 : 1
Fenix
21 Sept
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Canuelas
12 Sept
Canuelas
2 : 0
Victoriano Arenas
06 Sept
Canuelas
3 : 2
Club Lujan
Page 1 of 6

Leones de Rosario

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Leones de Rosario
28 Sept
Leones de Rosario
0 : 1
Club Lujan
20 Sept
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
Leones de Rosario
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
04 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 1
Leones de Rosario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)