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Canvey Island vs Aveley

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Okoh E.
34' Event
Booth M.
37' Event
Keto P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Canvey Island and Aveley finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Canvey Island
20%
Draws
64%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aveley come out ahead of Canvey Island on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aveley have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canvey Island Aveley
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.97 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 2.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Canvey Island vs Aveley
1:4
Jan 2, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Canvey Island
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Aveley
1:2
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Canvey Island vs Aveley
2:2
Apr 26, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Aveley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canvey Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keto P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canvey Island 30 / 100
Aveley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canvey Island Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Canvey Island scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Aveley has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Aveley has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canvey Island VS Aveley
1.17 Goals Scored 2.13
2.83 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Canvey Island

(Home)
28 Jul
Canvey Island
1 : 4
Aveley
25 Jul
Canvey Island
3 : 4
Brentwood
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
04 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 0
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Canvey Island
2 : 4
Ramsgate
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Aveley

(Away)
11 Aug
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 0
Aveley
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0
Aveley
31 Jul
Aveley
4 : 5
Tilbury
28 Jul
Canvey Island
1 : 4
Aveley
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