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Canvey Island vs Chelmsford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sery L.

AI Match Summary

Chelmsford in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmsford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Canvey Island
35%
Draws
37%
Chelmsford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmsford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelmsford lately — more wins on the board than Canvey Island.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chelmsford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 16%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canvey Island Chelmsford
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Canvey Island vs Chelmsford
0:1
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Canvey Island vs Chelmsford
0:1
Jul 22, 2011 Club Friendly
Canvey Island vs Chelmsford
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canvey Island Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chelmsford Compare

Top Goalscorer Sery L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canvey Island 31 / 100
Chelmsford 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canvey Island Chelmsford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canvey Island's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chelmsford let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Canvey Island stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Canvey Island VS Chelmsford
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canvey Island

(Home)
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2
Cambridge City
08 Sept
Newmarket
0 : 1
Canvey Island
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1
Newmarket
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Chelmsford

(Away)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
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