Sport Picks
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park, Redlands 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kato K.
39'
39'
Kato K.
69'
69'
Todd J.
AI Match Summary
Capalaba FC in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capalaba FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holland Park Hawks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Holland Park Hawks have won more games recently than Capalaba FC.
- Capalaba FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 13%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capalaba FC | Holland Park Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC
2:3
Apr 29, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks
3:4
Jun 22, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capalaba FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kato K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Todd J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Holland Park Hawks Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capalaba FC 40 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capalaba FC Holland Park Hawks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holland Park Hawks let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Capalaba FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Capalaba FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Capalaba FC VS Holland Park Hawks
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Capalaba FC
(Home) 15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2 Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0 Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2 Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2 St. George Willawong
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
10 May
Capalaba FC
2 : 4 Ipswich
Page 1 of 3
Holland Park Hawks
(Away) 15 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
3 : 2 Brisbane Strikers
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3 Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0 North Star
Page 1 of 7
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
03 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 3 Holland Park Hawks
23 Jun
Logan Lightning
2 : 3 Holland Park Hawks
13 Jun
Robina City
1 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
