Sport Picks

Australia

Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park

Capalaba FC

2 - 4

Ipswich

Our Tip

Match Events

Edgar A.

32'

Damianakis L.

48'

Biddington J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Capalaba FC

33%

Draws

40%

Ipswich

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ipswich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Capalaba FC haven't matched Ipswich's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Ipswich's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Ipswich Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capalaba FC	Ipswich
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	11
Draws	4	9
Losses	20	9
Goals Scored	0.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	3.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League

Capalaba FC vs Ipswich

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League

Capalaba FC vs Ipswich

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Mar 22, 2025 Queensland Premier League

Ipswich vs Capalaba FC

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Jun 29, 2024 Queensland Premier League

Ipswich vs Capalaba FC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Jun 8, 2024 Queensland Premier League

Capalaba FC vs Ipswich

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Damianakis L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cooper N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 26 / 100

Ipswich 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capalaba FC Ipswich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IPS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Capalaba FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ipswich's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Ipswich lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS Ipswich

0.63 Goals Scored 1.63

3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadbeach Utd.	18	14	4	0	47:16	46
2	Brisbane Strikers	18	14	3	1	44:14	45
3	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	18	8	5	5	36:24	29
4	Robina City	18	8	4	6	30:20	28
5	Ipswich	18	8	4	6	29:27	28
6	Caboolture	18	8	3	7	35:31	27
7	Redlands	18	7	4	7	35:32	25
8	Holland Park Hawks	18	7	3	8	29:33	24
9	Logan Lightning	18	7	2	9	33:35	23
10	North Star	18	3	3	12	16:37	12
11	St. George Willawong	18	3	1	14	10:41	10
12	Capalaba FC	18	2	2	14	17:51	8